Friday 22 April 2022

MOSKVA IS ANOTHER KURSK INCIDENT

We have been following the news of the 14 April 2022 Moskva sinking. On this date for years to come the USN will have to look over their shoulder. This whole story is looking like another Kursk incident. The sinking happened days after the announcement that the UK had gave Ukraine Harpoon missiles. Although the strike reportedly utilized indigenously produced Neptune missiles. This was the cover story.  

  • There are conflicting stories about the remainder of the crew. In one of the stories around 100 sailors attended at meeting and the captain was not there. 
  • The Russians filed a diplomatic complaint following the incident and the story about the P8 Poseidon and a submarine sinking the Moskva in combined arms attack began to circulate. 
  • We believe that the diplomatic complaint contained intelligence proving the P8 and submarine scenario. 
  • This is another Kursk incident. We think despite the nuclear saber rattling. Neither RUS or USA want a nuclear war. And just like one swallow doesn't make the summer. The Russians are going to temporarily look the other way until they can avenge the Moskva at a time and place of their choosing. 
  • The attacks on the USS Cole 12 October 2000 and the precision hit on Navy Operations Center on 11 September 2001 were both Russian attacks on US Naval assets avenging the torpedoing of Kursk by the USS Memphis and USS Toledo. 
  • Other nations could employ the same gambit. China has developed a ballistic anti-ship missile that can sink  USN carriers. Iran is developing an anti-ship missile. If hostilities erupt between the USA/China & Russia. It will create a power vacuum that regional actors could take advantage of with a war between Iran and Israel breaking out. A USN show of force in the region could lead the sinking of US vessels.    


SOURCES:

1. Young, A., Young, A., Reuters, Howard, W., & Haritos, C. (2022, April 10). UK to send "Game changer" anti-ship Harpoon missiles to Ukraine. but what are they? TICKER NEWS. Retrieved April 22, 2022, from https://tickernews.co/uk-to-send-game-changer-anti-ship-harpoon-missiles-to-ukraine-but-what-are-they/

2. Lendon, B. (2022). Analysis: What really happened to the pride of Russia's fleet?. Retrieved 22 April 2022, from https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/15/europe/russia-guided-missile-cruiser-moskva-sinks-intl-hnk-ml/index.html

3. China, Iran Boost Military Cooperation Amid Tensions With U.S. (2022). Retrieved 14 July 2022, from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-28/china-iran-boost-military-cooperation-amid-tensions-with-u-s

4. Why Are U.S. Navy Aircraft Carriers In China's Desert? -HI Sutton
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LYQDEP0TLc

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