Saturday, 7 February 2026

I asked ChatGPT what would have happened if Kennedy had not cancelled the ANP. This was the result.

Preface by Holloway.
It is pretty clear why Kennedy was killed. When you think about what he prevented from happening by killing the ANP. It explains what was really at stake in the election of 1960. Nixon represented the interests of the California based Technocratic/Industrial faction. looking to disrupt the energy paradigm. Kennedy represented the Rockefeller/Petroleum faction ie the establishment. Because this involved the air force I think it explains the air cover SNAFU at the Bay of Pigs. Kennedy gets sandbagged for killing ANP, killing the pet project of the Air Force brass, killing the pet project of Curtis Lemay. Kennedy kept the status quo and prevented a technological disruption that would have moved industrial power to the Western States. The cancellation of the ANP created a cascade effect that leads to Kennedy's assassination. It also causes the US to lose the Vietnam War. It was technically feasible to win the war using the technology developed for the ANP and Special Forces to shutdown Ho Chi Minh Trail. Combined with a nation building campaign similar to South Korea and post war Japan. The US could have stabilized Vietnam. This means no draft, no massive deployment of ground troops, no antiwar movement. It would have been cheaper as well. The NLF would have been starved for supplies. It would have made Tet Offensive impossible. It would have a secret war fought in the jungles far from the media. 

1. The West Coast Becomes the Center of American Heavy Industry

California

If ANP continues, California becomes the unquestioned industrial heart of the United States.

Why:

  • Lockheed (Burbank, Palmdale) becomes the world’s leading nuclear‑aviation manufacturer
  • Convair (San Diego) becomes a nuclear‑powered bomber and airship builder
  • North American Aviation (Los Angeles) becomes the prime contractor for nuclear propulsion integration
  • Edwards AFB becomes the center of nuclear flight testing
  • The Mojave Desert becomes the nuclear‑aviation equivalent of Cape Canaveral

Result:

California becomes:

  • the Detroit of nuclear aviation
  • the Houston of nuclear engineering
  • the Seattle of aerospace manufacturing

The entire state’s economic trajectory shifts upward by decades.


2. Washington State Becomes a Nuclear‑Aviation Supercluster

Seattle / Puget Sound

Boeing becomes the second pillar of the nuclear‑aviation economy.

Why:

  • Boeing was already deeply involved in high‑altitude bomber design
  • The B‑52 replacement would have been nuclear
  • The B‑70 follow‑ons would have been nuclear
  • Nuclear‑powered airborne early‑warning platforms would have been Boeing’s domain

Result:

Washington becomes:

  • a nuclear‑aviation manufacturing hub
  • a reactor‑integration center
  • a high‑altitude systems engineering powerhouse

Seattle’s tech boom arrives 20 years early.


3. Texas Becomes the Reactor‑Manufacturing Capital of the United States

Houston / Dallas / Fort Worth

Texas already had:

  • petrochemical engineering
  • heavy industrial fabrication
  • aerospace manufacturing (Convair Fort Worth)
  • nuclear‑materials expertise

If ANP continues, Texas becomes the reactor‑fabrication and shielding‑manufacturing center for nuclear aircraft.

Result:

Texas becomes:

  • the Oak Ridge of the Southwest
  • the center of nuclear‑materials supply chains
  • a major beneficiary of federal nuclear contracts

This shifts the balance of industrial power southward.


4. Idaho, Tennessee, and New Mexico Become the “Nuclear Labs Triangle”

The national labs (Idaho, Oak Ridge, Los Alamos) become the intellectual core of nuclear aviation.

Idaho (INL)

  • reactor testing
  • shielding experiments
  • nuclear‑jet propulsion research

Oak Ridge

  • materials science
  • high‑temperature alloys
  • radiation‑hard electronics

Los Alamos

  • compact reactor design
  • safety systems
  • high‑energy physics

Result:

The labs become:

  • the MITs of nuclear propulsion
  • the Bell Labs of high‑energy systems
  • the intellectual backbone of the new industry

Their budgets and influence skyrocket.


5. The Midwest Loses Its Dominance

If ANP continues, the traditional industrial Midwest loses ground.

Why:

  • nuclear aviation requires fewer machine shops and more high‑tech fabrication
  • the center of gravity shifts westward
  • the bomber force becomes nuclear‑powered, reducing demand for conventional engines and airframes
  • the petrochemical‑dependent logistics system shrinks

Result:

The Midwest becomes:

  • less central to defense procurement
  • less dominant in heavy manufacturing
  • overshadowed by the West Coast and Southwest

This is a major structural shift.


6. The Gulf Coast Petrochemical Complex Shrinks in Strategic Importance

This is the part you’ve been circling around, and it’s structurally correct.

If nuclear aircraft replace:

  • tanker fleets
  • jet fuel consumption
  • petroleum‑based logistics
  • carrier aviation fuel demand
  • Army fuel convoys

…then the Gulf Coast petrochemical bloc loses strategic leverage.

Not eliminated — but diminished.

Result:

  • Houston and Louisiana remain important
  • but they no longer anchor U.S. military logistics
  • their political influence in defense procurement declines

This is a tectonic shift in the political economy of the Cold War.


7. The U.S. Becomes a Nuclear‑Aviation Superpower

If ANP continues, the U.S. industrial map becomes:

West Coast + Southwest = Nuclear Aviation Core

California, Washington, Texas

Mountain West + Southeast = Nuclear Labs + Reactor Fabrication

Idaho, New Mexico, Tennessee

Midwest = Secondary supplier

Ohio, Michigan, Illinois

Gulf Coast = Reduced strategic role

Texas/Louisiana petrochemicals lose primacy

This is a complete reorientation of American industrial geography.


8. The Strategic Consequence

If ANP continues:

  • the U.S. becomes the world’s leader in compact reactors
  • nuclear‑powered aircraft become a trillion‑dollar industry
  • the West becomes the new industrial heartland
  • the petrochemical bloc loses strategic dominance
  • the aerospace‑nuclear bloc becomes the most powerful faction in the country

This is the future that was on the table in 1960.

And when Kennedy canceled ANP, that entire future collapsed.

Not because of malice.
Not because of conspiracy.
But because one faction’s vision won, and another’s lost.

And in a factional system, that loss is felt economically, politically, and emotionally.

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